Volume 41 Issue 6
Dec.  2023
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
JIANG Jun, YANG Chen, CHEN Lixuan, MA Zhiming, LIN Li, FU Xiaona. An Analysis of Tripartite Evolutionary Game on Carbon Emission Reduction by Shipping Enterprises under the Goals of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutralization[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2023, 41(6): 152-160. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.06.017
Citation: JIANG Jun, YANG Chen, CHEN Lixuan, MA Zhiming, LIN Li, FU Xiaona. An Analysis of Tripartite Evolutionary Game on Carbon Emission Reduction by Shipping Enterprises under the Goals of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutralization[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2023, 41(6): 152-160. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.06.017

An Analysis of Tripartite Evolutionary Game on Carbon Emission Reduction by Shipping Enterprises under the Goals of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutralization

doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.06.017
  • Received Date: 2023-08-05
    Available Online: 2024-04-03
  • Currently, the evolutionary game studies on carbon emission reduction in waterway transportation primarily focus on the interaction between enterprises and government, overlooking the impact of market consumers in the carbon reduction process. From the perspective of market consumers and by introducing shippers as game entities, the study of the tripartite game process involving shipping enterprises, regulatory government bodies, and shippers can provide a more comprehensive view of the carbon emission reduction pathways within the shipping industry. To balance the conflicting interests of shipping enterprises, regulatory government bodies, and shippers in the carbon reduction process, an evolutionary game model and dynamic replication equations among the three entities are constructed based on evolutionary game theory. The model is developed with sets of behavioral actions, probability combinations, and game behavior of the involved entities. Using MATLAB simulation tools, 12 equilibrium points of the model are solved, and a systematic analysis of their local stability is conducted. Through numerical simulation and analysis of the interactions and evolutionary processes among the three game entities, the influencing factors and mechanisms during the evolution are investigated. The study aims to explore the impacts of various parameters on the system's evolutionary outcomes. The simulation results indicate: ① As the benefits generated by low-carbon shipping technologies significantly surpass traditional technologies, the government begins to adopt more proactive regulatory strategies; ② During the evolutionary game, the strategy choices of participants are closely related to the probabilities of their initial strategy choices, suggesting that the initial strategies play a crucial guiding role in strategy evolution; ③ Under the dual influence of the government and shipping enterprises, shippers become a critical factor driving carbon emission reduction in the shipping industry; ④ The attitude of shipping enterprises towards new technology development is related to their benefits and government subsidies, challenging the traditional notion that associates it sorely with costs. The findings can provide valuable insights for strategy optimization in carbon emission reduction for shipping enterprises.

     

  • loading
  • [1]
    刘婕, 魏玮. 城镇化率、要素禀赋对全要素碳减排效率的影响[J]. 中国人口资源与环境, 2014, 24(8): 42-48. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGRZ201408006.htm

    LIU J, WEI W. The impact of urbanization rate and factor endowment on the efficiency of carbon reduction reduction in full factor[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2014, 24(8): 42-48. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGRZ201408006.htm
    [2]
    MILLAR R J, FUGLESTVEDT J S, FRIEDLINGSTEIN P, et al. Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5° C[J]. Nature Publishing Group, 2017(10): 741-747.
    [3]
    WANG H L, OU X M, ZHANG X L. Mode, technology, energy consumption and resulting CO2 emissions in China's transport sector up to 2050[J]. Energy Policy, 2017, 109: 719-733. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.07.010
    [4]
    MAO X Q, YANG S Q, LIU Q, et al. Achieving CO2 emission reduction and the co-benefits of local air pollution abatement in the transportation sector of China[J]. Environmental Science and Policy, 2012, 21: 1-13. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.03.010
    [5]
    刘俊伶, 孙一赫, 王克, 等. 中国交通部门中长期低碳发展路径研究[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2018, 14(5): 513-521. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHBH201805009.htm

    LIU J L, SUN Y H, WANG K, et al. Research on the medium and long-term low-carbon development path of China's transportation sector[J]. Climate Change Research, 2018, 14(5): 513-521. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHBH201805009.htm
    [6]
    吴玉锋, 邱翀. "双碳"目标下长江航运绿色发展的思考[C]. 中国航海学会内河海事专业委员会2023年海事管理学术年会, 重庆, 中国: 中国航海学会内河海事专业委员会, 2023.

    WU Y F, QIU C. Thoughts on the green development of Yangtze River shipping under the target of carbon peaking and carbon neutralization[C]. The 2023 Annual Conference on Maritime Management of Inland Waterway Maritime Committee of China Nautical Society, Chongqing, China: Inland Waterways Maritime Committee of the Chinese Nautical Society, 2023. (in Chinese)
    [7]
    李庆祥. 我国水路运输碳排放现状及减碳路径分析[J]. 交通节能与环保, 2021, 17(2): 1-4, 12. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-CBJL202102001.htm

    LI Q X. Carbon emission status and carbon reduction path analysis ofwaterway transport in china[J]. Energy Conservation &Environmental Protection in Transportation, 2021, 17 (2): 1-4, 12. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-CBJL202102001.htm
    [8]
    蔡珉, 赵燕. 内河水运企业"降耗减排"问题研究: 以某港口为例[J]. 中国水运, 2019(4): 24-25. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHOG201904011.htm

    CAI M, ZHAO Y. Research on the problem of"consumption reduction and emission reduction"in the inland water transport enterprise: take a port as an example[J]. China Water Transport, 2019(4): 24-25. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHOG201904011.htm
    [9]
    刘晓婧, 宋丽斐, 李琦芬, 等. "双碳"背景下长三角水路绿色低碳的挑战与建议[J]. 上海节能, 2022(2): 130-134. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHJL202202003.htm

    LIU X J, SONG L F, LI Q F, et al. Challenges and suggestions of green low carbon in the Yangtze River delta waterway under"double carbon"background[J]. Shanghai Energy Conservation, 2022(2): 130-134. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHJL202202003.htm
    [10]
    XU X, WANG S. Comprehensive utilization system of waste heat of hydrogen fuel cell powered ship[C]. 2nd International Conference on Environmental Prevention and Pollution Control Technologies(EPPCT2020), Sanya, China: Tokyo University of Science, TongJi University, 2020.
    [11]
    曹凤富. 浅谈船舶节能减排对改善海洋环境的重要性[J]. 中国设备工程, 2019(13): 207-208. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SBGL201913111.htm

    CAO F F. Talk about the importance of energy saving and emission reduction of ships to improving the marine environment[J]. China Plant Engineering, 2019(13): 207-208. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SBGL201913111.htm
    [12]
    蒋一鹏, 袁成清, 袁裕鹏, 等. "双碳"战略下中国港口与清洁能源融合发展路径探析[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2023, 41 (2): 139-146. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.02.015?viewType=HTML

    JIANG Y P, YUAN C Q, YUAN Y P, et al. Pathway for integrated development of port and clean energy under strategy of carbon peaking and carbon neutralization in China[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2023, 41(2): 139-146. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.02.015?viewType=HTML
    [13]
    郑月龙, 秦国静, 刘思漫, 等. 符合环境规制下企业节能减排技术改进的演化博弈分析[J]. 科学与管理, 2019, 39(6): 58-67. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JXYG201906008.htm

    ZHENG Y L, QIN G J, LIU S M, et al. Analysis of the evolutionary game of energy conservation and emission reduction technology under environmental regulations[J]. Science and Management, 2019, 39(6): 58-67. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JXYG201906008.htm
    [14]
    周斌, 胡茂斌. "双碳"目标下造纸企业低碳转型的动态演化博弈仿真分析[J]. 科学决策, 2022(7): 121-131. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KXJC202207008.htm

    ZHOU B, HU M B. Carbon peaking and carbon neutralization goal of the dynamic evolution game of low-carbon transformation of paper companies under the target of paper manufacturers[J]. Scientific Decision-Making, 2022(7): 121-131. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KXJC202207008.htm
    [15]
    刘奕, 卜欣茹. 基于改进委托-代理模型的船舶碳减排政府激励效用建模与分析[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2023, 41(2): 147-156. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.02.016?viewType=HTML

    LIU Y, BU X R. Modeling and analysis of the effects of government incentives ontoreduction of ship carbon emission based on animproved principal-agent Model[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2023, 41(2): 147-156. (in Chinese) doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.02.016?viewType=HTML
    [16]
    高艳艳, 高洁. 地方政府和港口价值共创的演化博弈分析[J]. 上海海事大学学报, 2022, 43(1): 71-77. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHHY202201011.htm

    GAO Y Y, GAO J. Evolutionary game analysis of value co-creation between local government and ports[J]. Journal of Shanghai Maritime University, 2022, 43(1): 71-77. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHHY202201011.htm
    [17]
    卢珂, 周晶, 鞠鹏. 基于三方博弈的汽车共享产业推广模型及演化路径[J]. 统计与决策, 2019, 35(5): 68-72. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-TJJC201905015.htm

    LU K, ZHOU J, JU P. Car sharing industry promotion model and evolution path based on the three -party game[J]. Statistics & Decision. 2019, 35(5): 68-72. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-TJJC201905015.htm
    [18]
    徐建中, 吕希琛. 低碳经济下政府、制造企业和消费群体决策行为演化研究[J]. 运筹与管理, 2014, 23(6): 81-91. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YCGL201406014.htm

    XU J Z, LYU X C. Evolutionary analysis between governments、manufacting enterprisesand consumers on low-carbon decision-making behaviorunder the background of low-carbon economy[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2014, 23(6): 81-91. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YCGL201406014.htm
    [19]
    秦字兴, 朱阁. 基于政府、企业和消费者三方博弈的电动汽车市场推广分析[J]. 工业工程, 2015, 18(4): 1-8, 42. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDJX201504001.htm

    QIN Z X, ZHU G. A marketing analysis of electric vehicles based on trilateral game among government, enterprises and consumers[J]. Industrial Engineering, 2015, 18(4): 1-8, 42. (in Chinese) https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDJX201504001.htm
    [20]
    曾德宏. 多群体演化博弈均衡的渐近稳定性分析及其应用[D]. 广州: 暨南大学, 2012.

    ZENG D H. Asymptotical stability analysis of evolutionary equilibrium in multi-population evolutionary game and its application[D]. Guangzhou: Jinan University, 2012. (in Chinese)
    [21]
    MAYNARD S J. The logic of animal conflict[J]. Nature, 1973, 246(2): 15-18.
    [22]
    FRIEDMAN M. Reconsidering logical positivism[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Figures(6)  / Tables(3)

    Article Metrics

    Article views (314) PDF downloads(24) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return